Egypt’s 2025 Family Health Survey Puts Fertility at 2.33 Children per Woman, Down 18.2 Percent
Preliminary results of the Egypt Family Health Survey 2025 put the country’s total fertility rate at 2.33 children per woman, against 2.85 in the 2021 survey. CAPMAS presented the results on 23 September at a press conference held under the patronage of the Prime Minister.
Half a child fewer per woman
On our calculation, the rate fell by 0.52 children per woman, or 18.2 percent, between the 2021 survey and the 2025 survey. That is equivalent to a compound decline of about 4.9 percent a year across the four years between the two survey rounds. Health and Population Minister Khaled Abdel Ghaffar said that, despite positive economic growth, high population growth weighs on economic returns and limits how far citizens feel an improvement in quality of life and services.
| Survey | Children per woman |
|---|---|
| Egypt Family Health Survey 2021 | 2.85 |
| Egypt Family Health Survey 2025 | 2.33 |
CAPMAS, preliminary results released 23 September 2026.
The base is still large
The agency’s population clock read about 109.6 million on 24 September. The agency said the 2021 survey formed the basis of the National Strategy for Population and Development 2023 to 2030 and the five pillars of the national project to develop the Egyptian family. Those pillars are women’s economic empowerment, service and health intervention, cultural and media awareness, digital transformation and governance, and legislative intervention.
Why it matters: On our reading, a sustained fall in fertility eases, over time, the pressure on services and quality of life that the health minister described. The 2025 survey is the first in the series since that strategy was drawn up.
Outlook: These are preliminary results, and the final results of the Egypt Family Health Survey 2025 will confirm or revise the 2.33 rate.
Sources: CAPMAS.
