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Japan Lifted Rare Earth Mud From 5,569 Metres. The Hard Part Starts Now.

Energy & Commodities · Aug 16, 2026 · 5 min read

Japan Lifted Rare Earth Mud From 5,569 Metres. The Hard Part Starts Now.

Minamitorishima is about 1.51 square kilometres of flat Pacific land, roughly the size of Tokyo’s Imperial Palace grounds, some 1,950 kilometres southeast…

Read more →
The Global AI Race in 2026: Who Is Winning Models, Money, Compute and Distribution?

Geopolitics · Jul 13, 2026 · 7 min read

The Global AI Race in 2026: Who Is Winning Models, Money, Compute and Distribution?

OpenAI holds the strongest disclosed consumer position, Anthropic is scaling fastest in enterprise AI, Google has assembled the broadest integrated stack, Microsoft…

Read more →
USMCA Enters Annual Review Cycle as US Declines Straight 16 Year Renewal

Geopolitics · Jul 2, 2026 · 6 min read

USMCA Enters Annual Review Cycle as US Declines Straight 16 Year Renewal

The United States has declined to renew the United States Mexico Canada Agreement in its current form, shifting North America's core trade…

Read more →
Oil Prices Jump Nearly 5% as Middle East Escalation Revives Supply Shock Fears

Geopolitics · Jun 8, 2026 · 6 min read

Oil Prices Jump Nearly 5% as Middle East Escalation Revives Supply Shock Fears

Oil prices surged sharply on Monday as renewed tensions in the Middle East revived fears of potential disruption to global energy flows…

Read more →
U.S. Proposes New Tariffs on 60 Trading Partners Over Forced Labor Enforcement

Geopolitics · Jun 3, 2026 · 6 min read

U.S. Proposes New Tariffs on 60 Trading Partners Over Forced Labor Enforcement

USTR proposes new Section 301 tariffs on 60 trading partners — 10% on economies with partial forced labor regimes, 12.5% on others.…

Read more →
Why the Ruble Has Strengthened Despite Sanctions and War

Geopolitics · Jun 2, 2026 · 6 min read

Why the Ruble Has Strengthened Despite Sanctions and War

The Russian ruble has strengthened to around RUB 71.55/USD as of 2 June 2026. The move reflects higher commodity inflows, a 14.50%…

Read more →
Strait of Hormuz Risk and GCC Oil Export Resilience

Bahrain · Jun 2, 2026 · 6 min read

Strait of Hormuz Risk and GCC Oil Export Resilience

A Hormuz disruption is a resilience test, not a uniform shock. Oman has geographic flexibility, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have alternative…

Read more →
Asian Rice Prices Jump 20% as War and Weather Pressure Food Security

Energy & Commodities · May 30, 2026 · 5 min read

Asian Rice Prices Jump 20% as War and Weather Pressure Food Security

Asian rice prices reportedly surged around 20% in May, as war-related supply chain disruption and worsening weather risks pressured one of the…

Read more →
Russian Crude Exports Hit 2026 High as Hormuz Disruption Reshapes Oil Flows

Energy & Commodities · May 27, 2026 · 3 min read

Russian Crude Exports Hit 2026 High as Hormuz Disruption Reshapes Oil Flows

Russian crude exports are moving close to their highest levels of 2026 as disruption around the Strait of Hormuz reshapes global oil…

Read more →
  • Japan Lifted Rare Earth Mud From 5,569 Metres. The Hard Part Starts Now.
    Energy & Commodities | Geopolitics | Japan

    Japan Lifted Rare Earth Mud From 5,569 Metres. The Hard Part Starts Now.

    August 16, 2026August 16, 2026

    Minamitorishima is about 1.51 square kilometres of flat Pacific land, roughly the size of Tokyo’s Imperial Palace grounds, some 1,950 kilometres southeast of the capital. What gives it weight is the exclusive economic zone it generates — approximately 430,000 square kilometres, larger than Japan’s entire landmass — and what lies beneath the seabed within it….

    Read More Japan Lifted Rare Earth Mud From 5,569 Metres. The Hard Part Starts Now.Continue

  • Data Center, Global
    Geopolitics | Global | MENA

    The Global AI Race in 2026: Who Is Winning Models, Money, Compute and Distribution?

    July 13, 2026August 15, 2026

    OpenAI holds the strongest disclosed consumer position, Anthropic is scaling fastest in enterprise AI, Google has assembled the broadest integrated stack, Microsoft and Amazon command distribution and infrastructure, Nvidia remains the largest financial beneficiary, and China has sharply narrowed the frontier-model gap. Artificial intelligence is no longer one race but several interlocking contests. The AI…

    Read More The Global AI Race in 2026: Who Is Winning Models, Money, Compute and Distribution?Continue

  • USMCA Review, USA
    Geopolitics | Global | Macro | USA

    USMCA Enters Annual Review Cycle as US Declines Straight 16 Year Renewal

    July 2, 2026August 15, 2026

    The United States has declined to renew the United States Mexico Canada Agreement in its current form, shifting North America’s core trade framework into a period of annual reviews and heightened policy uncertainty. The pact remains in force, but the decision removes the cleaner outcome sought by Canada and Mexico, a straight 16 year extension…

    Read More USMCA Enters Annual Review Cycle as US Declines Straight 16 Year RenewalContinue

  • Oil pump jack at sunset with tankers
    Geopolitics | IEA | International Organizations | OPEC | World Bank

    Oil Prices Jump Nearly 5% as Middle East Escalation Revives Supply Shock Fears

    June 8, 2026August 15, 2026

    Oil prices surged sharply on Monday as renewed tensions in the Middle East revived fears of potential disruption to global energy flows through one of the world’s most critical oil transit corridors. Brent crude moved close to US$98 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate traded near US$95 per barrel, with both benchmarks rising by nearly…

    Read More Oil Prices Jump Nearly 5% as Middle East Escalation Revives Supply Shock FearsContinue

  • US Tariffs, USA
    Geopolitics | Global | Macro | USA

    U.S. Proposes New Tariffs on 60 Trading Partners Over Forced Labor Enforcement

    June 3, 2026August 15, 2026

    USTR proposes new Section 301 tariffs on 60 trading partners — 10% on economies with partial forced labor regimes, 12.5% on others. Comments due July 6, hearings begin July 7. Major exemptions for food, raw materials and strategic inputs.

    Read More U.S. Proposes New Tariffs on 60 Trading Partners Over Forced Labor EnforcementContinue

  • Russian Ruble, Russia
    Geopolitics | Global | Markets

    Why the Ruble Has Strengthened Despite Sanctions and War

    June 2, 2026August 15, 2026

    The Russian ruble has strengthened to around RUB 71.55/USD as of 2 June 2026. The move reflects higher commodity inflows, a 14.50% policy rate against 5.6% inflation, capital controls and lighter Finance Ministry FX purchases — a powerful but distorted mix.

    Read More Why the Ruble Has Strengthened Despite Sanctions and WarContinue

  • Strait of Hormuz, MENA
    Bahrain | Energy & Commodities | Geopolitics | IEA | International Organizations | Kuwait | Macro | Markets | MENA | Oman | Qatar | Saudi Arabia | UAE

    Strait of Hormuz Risk and GCC Oil Export Resilience

    June 2, 2026August 15, 2026

    A Hormuz disruption is a resilience test, not a uniform shock. Oman has geographic flexibility, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have alternative pipelines, Kuwait and Qatar have powerful financial buffers, and Bahrain benefits from GCC integration.

    Read More Strait of Hormuz Risk and GCC Oil Export ResilienceContinue

  • Asian Rice & Food Security, Asia
    Energy & Commodities | Geopolitics | Global | Macro

    Asian Rice Prices Jump 20% as War and Weather Pressure Food Security

    May 30, 2026

    Asian rice prices reportedly surged around 20% in May, as war-related supply chain disruption and worsening weather risks pressured one of the world’s most important food staples and reignited food security concerns across import-dependent economies.

    Read More Asian Rice Prices Jump 20% as War and Weather Pressure Food SecurityContinue

  • Russian oil tanker at a loading terminal
    Energy & Commodities | Geopolitics | Global | MENA

    Russian Crude Exports Hit 2026 High as Hormuz Disruption Reshapes Oil Flows

    May 27, 2026

    Russian crude exports are moving close to their highest levels of 2026 as disruption around the Strait of Hormuz reshapes global oil trade. The shift is increasing demand for alternative barrels, with India emerging as the clearest near term driver of Russian crude flows. The latest tanker tracking data shows average Russian crude shipments over…

    Read More Russian Crude Exports Hit 2026 High as Hormuz Disruption Reshapes Oil FlowsContinue

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