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THE EDGE INSIGHTS

Latest Economic Insights

Economic developments that matter to regional and global markets, analysed daily.

AllGlobal ▾GlobalUSAChinaEUUKJapanSouth KoreaGermanyFranceIndiaAustraliaSingaporeTaiwanHong KongMiddle East ▾Middle EastKuwaitEgyptUAESaudi ArabiaBahrainQatarOmanJordanInternational Organizations ▾World BankIMFOPECIEAOECDUNWTORating AgenciesMacroMarkets ▾AllMiddle EastUSEuropeAsiaGlobalEnergy & CommoditiesGeopolitics
Kuwait Electronic Payments Reach KD 27.9 Billion as Instant Transfers Jump 52 Percent

Macro · Jul 31, 2026 · 5 min read

Kuwait Electronic Payments Reach KD 27.9 Billion as Instant Transfers Jump 52 Percent

Central Bank of Kuwait data show electronic payments of KD 27.9 billion in the first half of 2026, with instant transfers up…

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Saudi GDP Contracts 4.8 Percent as Oil Activities Fall 24.7 Percent

Macro · Jul 31, 2026 · 8 min read

Saudi GDP Contracts 4.8 Percent as Oil Activities Fall 24.7 Percent

Saudi real GDP contracted 4.8 percent year on year in the second quarter as oil activities fell 24.7 percent, while non-oil activities…

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IMF External Sector Report 2026: Imbalances Widen as Oil Exporter Surpluses Shrink

Macro · Jul 31, 2026 · 8 min read

IMF External Sector Report 2026: Imbalances Widen as Oil Exporter Surpluses Shrink

The IMF reports global current account balances widened in 2025, with oil exporter surpluses shrinking and excessive imbalances accounting for a larger…

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Euro Area Unemployment Holds at 6.3 Percent in June 2026

Macro · Jul 31, 2026 · 4 min read

Euro Area Unemployment Holds at 6.3 Percent in June 2026

The euro-area unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.3 percent in June and the EU rate at 6.0 percent, with the euro-area count…

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US GDP Slows to 1.5 Percent as Private Demand Accelerates

Macro · Jul 31, 2026 · 5 min read

US GDP Slows to 1.5 Percent as Private Demand Accelerates

Real GDP grew 1.5 percent in the second quarter, down from 2.1 percent, while real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose…

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Market Wrap US-Europe 30 July: Microsoft Leads a 2.8 Percent Nasdaq Rebound

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 5 min read

Market Wrap US-Europe 30 July: Microsoft Leads a 2.8 Percent Nasdaq Rebound

US stocks rebounded sharply on Thursday, led by Microsoft and a powerful recovery in semiconductor shares, recovering the ground lost after a…

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Commodities Wrap 30 July: Palladium Jumps 4.7 Percent as Metals Rally and Oil Slips

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 4 min read

Commodities Wrap 30 July: Palladium Jumps 4.7 Percent as Metals Rally and Oil Slips

The metals complex led commodities higher on Thursday while crude oil slipped, as a sharply weaker US dollar lifted precious and industrial…

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Market Wrap MENA-Asia 30 July: Gulf Firms on Oil as China and Korea Retreat

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 5 min read

Market Wrap MENA-Asia 30 July: Gulf Firms on Oil as China and Korea Retreat

Asian markets were mostly softer on Thursday as the region digested a hawkish hold from the US Federal Reserve and a sharp…

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Euro Area Growth Rebounds to 0.4 Percent After a Flat First Quarter

Macro · Jul 30, 2026 · 4 min read

Euro Area Growth Rebounds to 0.4 Percent After a Flat First Quarter

Euro-area output rebounded in the second quarter of 2026, growing 0.4 percent from the previous quarter after being unchanged in the first.…

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German GDP Grows 0.2 Percent While 2024 Contraction Is Revised to Zero

Macro · Jul 30, 2026 · 5 min read

German GDP Grows 0.2 Percent While 2024 Contraction Is Revised to Zero

German gross domestic product increased 0.2 percent in the second quarter of 2026 from the previous quarter after adjustment for prices, seasonal…

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IMF Article IV Projects Saudi Growth Rebounding to 5.5 Percent in 2027

Macro · Jul 30, 2026 · 6 min read

IMF Article IV Projects Saudi Growth Rebounding to 5.5 Percent in 2027

The International Monetary Fund expects Saudi economic growth of 1.7 percent in 2026 before a rebound to 5.5 percent in 2027, as…

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France Returns to Growth With GDP Up 0.2 Percent in Second Quarter

Macro · Jul 30, 2026 · 4 min read

France Returns to Growth With GDP Up 0.2 Percent in Second Quarter

France returned to growth in the second quarter of 2026, but the composition of the rebound points to limited underlying domestic momentum.…

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Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75 Percent as Three Members Vote to Hike

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 3 min read

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75 Percent as Three Members Vote to Hike

The Bank of England held its benchmark interest rate at 3.75 percent on Thursday, with three of its nine policymakers voting for…

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IMF Projections Put Five Arab Debt Ratios Above 80 Percent in 2026

Macro · Jul 30, 2026 · 11 min read

IMF Projections Put Five Arab Debt Ratios Above 80 Percent in 2026

Five Arab economies are projected to carry general government gross debt above 80 percent of gross domestic product in 2026, according to…

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Market Wrap US-Europe 29 July: Dow Falls 2.2 Percent as Oil Jumps, Long Yields Rise

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 12 min read

Market Wrap US-Europe 29 July: Dow Falls 2.2 Percent as Oil Jumps, Long Yields Rise

Wall Street sold off hard into the closing bell on Wednesday, and the damage arrived after the Federal Reserve had already finished…

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Fed Chairman Warsh Rejects Pause Label and Restates the 2 Percent Target

Markets · Jul 30, 2026 · 11 min read

Fed Chairman Warsh Rejects Pause Label and Restates the 2 Percent Target

Kevin Warsh spoke for roughly ten minutes before taking questions on 29 July, in his second news conference as Chairman of the…

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Commodities Wrap 29 July: Oil Surges 8 Percent as US-Iran Strikes Resume

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 3 min read

Commodities Wrap 29 July: Oil Surges 8 Percent as US-Iran Strikes Resume

Oil ripped higher and dragged the security premium back into the commodities complex on Wednesday. Brent crude settled 8.07 percent higher at…

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Federal Reserve Holds Rates at 3.50 to 3.75 Percent With Three Hike Votes

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 10 min read

Federal Reserve Holds Rates at 3.50 to 3.75 Percent With Three Hike Votes

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest-rate range unchanged at 3.50 to 3.75 percent on 29 July, extending the pause to a…

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Market Wrap MENA-Asia 29 July: Oil Surges 8 Percent and Asian Chips Slide Again

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 6 min read

Market Wrap MENA-Asia 29 July: Oil Surges 8 Percent and Asian Chips Slide Again

The security premium rushed back into oil on Wednesday, and the region's markets split around it. Brent crude surged nearly 8 percent…

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OPEC Plus Seven Add 188 Thousand Barrels a Day to August Output

Energy & Commodities · Jul 29, 2026 · 6 min read

OPEC Plus Seven Add 188 Thousand Barrels a Day to August Output

Seven OPEC Plus producers meet on 2 August having raised August targets by 188 thousand barrels a day, the third consecutive month…

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UAE Retail Treasury Sukuk Draws 445 Million Dirhams at 4.30 Percent

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 7 min read

UAE Retail Treasury Sukuk Draws 445 Million Dirhams at 4.30 Percent

The UAE listed its first sovereign retail Treasury Sukuk on Nasdaq Dubai on 2 July, drawing 445 million dirhams at 4.30 percent,…

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Bundesbank Puts the Average US Import Tariff at Almost 12 Percent

Macro · Jul 29, 2026 · 9 min read

Bundesbank Puts the Average US Import Tariff at Almost 12 Percent

The Bundesbank puts the average US import tariff at almost 12 percent against 2.3 percent in 2024, and models an escalation that…

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United States Goods Trade Deficit Narrows to 101.5 Billion Dollars in June

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 5 min read

United States Goods Trade Deficit Narrows to 101.5 Billion Dollars in June

Exports fell 1.8 percent and imports 2.6 percent in June, narrowing the goods gap to 101.5 billion dollars on a contraction in…

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Markets Price One in Three Odds of a Fed Rate Rise This Week

Markets · Jul 29, 2026 · 6 min read

Markets Price One in Three Odds of a Fed Rate Rise This Week

The FOMC decides at 9:00 p.m. Kuwait time with the target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent, and Citadel Securities calling for…

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